6

Nasco De Mire

3yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Lacadeira - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#5

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Pornichet 20/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 020/085C0 @ Vincennes 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 01/09C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Vincennes?4th4th0
2026-08-20Pornichet53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -67.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20263rd14/126%80%+0.54
01/09/20264th3/184%70%-0.14