5
Nemo D'arnhem
3yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Lacadeira - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#10
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Mauquenchy | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | La Capelle | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Chartres | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Amiens | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-12 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -13.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 15/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 19/04/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |