12
Novateur Du Vif
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Lacadeira - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#4
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Pornichet | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |