4
Marechal Turgot
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Vincennes · Prix Artemis - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Caen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | 6 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/12/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 91% | +0.04 |
| 30/03/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 28/04/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |