12

Missy De Jiel
4yo Filly · 9-8
Vincennes · Prix Artemis - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
61%
Place Prob
50%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Vincennes | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-01-11 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 02/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 17/10/2025 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 11/01/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 24/01/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 01/07/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |