11
Muscade Leman
4yo Filly · 8-11
Vincennes · Prix Artemis - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#12
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength40%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chartres | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-04 | Vincennes | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 1 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 22/03/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 14/08/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 28/02/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/03/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |