7

Must D'hermes

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Vincennes · Prix Artemis - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#6

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 26/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 12326/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 123C0 @ Vincennes 17/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12317/06C?C0 @ Enghien 17/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 123C0 @ Vincennes 16/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13216/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 132C0 @ Vincennes 18/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 13218/11C?4 @ Vincennes 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1395 @ Cabourg 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13914/085projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Cabourg52nd4th2
2026-08-01Enghien?0
2026-07-18Enghien30
2026-06-19Vincennes43rd4th1
2026-06-01Nantes?0
2025-11-18Vincennes?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0417/0718/1114/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength44%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/04/20252nd14/126%93%+0.67
03/06/20254th11/142%57%+0.15
17/06/20255th18/15%67%+0.61
17/07/20255th20/10%69%+0.69
16/09/20253rd12/137%83%+0.46
14/10/20253rd14/126%78%+0.51
18/11/20252nd9/276%83%+0.07
19/06/20263rd6/168%83%+0.15
14/08/20262nd11/271%91%+0.20