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12

Nikita Wood

3yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Lyra - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cordemais 08/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 08/03C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 29/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 029/03C?5 @ Enghien 11/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 011/0755 @ Pornichet 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 020/085projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Pornichet52nd2nd0
2026-08-04Les Sables?0
2026-07-11Enghien58th8th0
2026-03-29Chatelaillon?2nd2nd0
2026-03-08Cordemais?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0329/0311/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength64%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/03/20262nd9/488%89%+0.01
29/03/20262nd11/486%89%+0.03
11/07/20268th9/276%22%-0.54
20/08/20262nd5/174%91%+0.17