3
Nominee
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Lyra - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#14
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Laval | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 31/03/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 23/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |