13

Nouba De Chine
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Lyra - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-25 | Le Mans | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Le Mans | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 92% | +0.87 |