13

Nouba De Chine

3yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Lyra - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Graignes 28/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 028/04C?5 @ Le Mans 21/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 021/0555 @ Laval 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 011/065C0 @ Le Mans 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y 013/07C?5 @ Le Mans 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 025/075projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Vincennes?0
2026-07-25Le Mans52nd2nd0
2026-07-13Le Mans?3rd3rd0
2026-06-11Laval57th7th0
2026-05-21Le Mans54th4th0
2026-04-28Graignes?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0421/0511/0613/0725/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/04/20262nd14/126%91%+0.65
21/05/20264th33/10%77%+0.77
11/06/20267th10/147%60%+0.13
13/07/20263rd16/116%83%+0.68
25/07/20262nd18/15%92%+0.87