5

Kiss Cam

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 58

Wolverhampton · Weatherbys Stallion Book Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 142y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

93%

Place Prob

72%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Had first-time blinkers on and shaped better than the distance beaten suggests making nursery debut when seventh of 11 at Lingfield (1m) just over 3 weeks ago, keeping on when badly hampered final 1f. Not discounted back in maiden company.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 09/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 6f GF 1259/0744 @ Wolverhampton 21/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f36y Std 12521/0744 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f1y Std 12813/0846 @ Lingfield 27/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 58 · 1m1y Std 128 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 58 par27/086OR 58projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Lingfield67th9th2
2026-08-13Lingfield46th6th0
2026-07-21Wolverhampton46th6th0
2026-07-09Newbury411th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0721/0713/0827/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +18.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/07/202611th16/116%0%-0.16
21/07/20266th80/10%38%+0.38
13/08/20266th80/10%50%+0.50
27/08/20267th25/10%40%+0.40