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6

London Rose

2yo Filly · 9-2

Wolverhampton · Weatherbys Stallion Book Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 142y

#13

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ardad filly who shaped better than first time up when sixth of 13 in novice at Ripon (1m, good to firm) last month. More needed again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 25/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f14y Sta 12825/0642 @ Ripon 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS15/082projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Ripon26th4th+2
2026-06-25Newcastle48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0615/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +36.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20268th40/10%22%+0.22
15/08/20266th125/10%58%+0.58