7

Lunar Blossom

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 55

Wolverhampton · Weatherbys Stallion Book Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 142y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Her form as things stand is just poor, sixth of 12 in novice at Kempton (1m) a fortnight ago. Hopes pinned on first-time cheekpieces sparking some improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 18/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f GF 12218/0744 @ Lingfield 04/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f1y Std 1284/0844 @ Kempton 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m Sta 1224/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Kempton46th6th0
2026-08-04Lingfield44th4th0
2026-07-18Newmarket410th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/074/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +29.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/202610th18/15%0%-0.05
04/08/20264th9/153%67%+0.14
04/09/20266th40/10%55%+0.55