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Tommo's Queen

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 59

Wolverhampton · Weatherbys Stallion Book Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 142y

#6

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Very green but got the idea late on when making the frame in a Redcar maiden (7f) in July. Below that level on both subsequent starts and low-grade nurseries look more her bag.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Redcar 19/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 7f Goo 12819/0742 @ Ripon 15/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS15/0824 @ Beverley 29/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 7f75y Sft 12529/084projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Beverley49th9th0
2026-08-15Ripon212th10th+2
2026-07-19Redcar44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0715/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%

Delivery trend -20.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20264th50/10%75%+0.75
15/08/202612th9/153%8%-0.44
29/08/20269th33/10%33%+0.33