Mick's The Boy
2yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 64
Wolverhampton · Guardians Guild & BCMH Collaboration Nursery · 7f 36y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Catterick | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Catterick | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 3 | 8th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -19.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 44% | -0.46 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |