8
Parkers Light
2yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 57
Wolverhampton · Guardians Guild & BCMH Collaboration Nursery · 7f 36y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength40%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Chepstow | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Windsor | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Nottingham | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Bath | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength23%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 125/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |