Perfect Hope
2yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 61
Wolverhampton · Guardians Guild & BCMH Collaboration Nursery · 7f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
54%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Kempton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ascot | 3 | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-02 | Newbury | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 02/07/2026 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.31 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 89% | +0.34 |