9

Soldier's Echo

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 57

Wolverhampton · Guardians Guild & BCMH Collaboration Nursery · 7f 36y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden. Matched debut form when fourth of 8 on nursery debut at Catterick (6f, good, 9/1) last month. Goes up in trip on all-weather debut. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Bath 01/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 5f160y Fm 127 · HIGHER CLASS1/0754 @ Chester 10/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f17y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS10/0745 @ Beverley 20/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS20/0756 @ Catterick 17/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 59 · 5f212y Goo 129 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 59 par17/086OR 59projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Catterick64th4th0
2026-07-20Beverley56th5th+1
2026-07-10Chester49th7th+2
2026-07-01Bath57th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0710/0720/0717/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20267th12/137%40%+0.03
10/07/20269th40/10%27%+0.27
20/07/20266th40/10%50%+0.50
17/08/20264th9/153%57%+0.05