
Waiting For Archie
2yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 55
Wolverhampton · Guardians Guild & BCMH Collaboration Nursery · 7f 36y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Beverley | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thirsk | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/09/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |