9

Bossy Parker
6yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 49
Wolverhampton · JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
34%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength60%
What the class read says
Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Newcastle | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 64% | -0.21 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 30/01/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |
| 30/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |