3

King Cherry

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 55

Wolverhampton · JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y

#8

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

One of better efforts when making the frame at Lingfield last month though wasn't seen to best effect. Poorly drawn when beating just one home at Wolverhampton in 12-runner handicap at this course (6f) 3 days ago. Draw hasn't been too kind again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 06/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS6/0445 @ Wolverhampton 27/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f36y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS15/0545 @ Sandown 24/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 63 · 7f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Brighton 05/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 60 · 6f210y Goo 133 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 60 par5/086OR 606 @ Lingfield 20/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 57 · 6f1y Std 131 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Lingfield 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 57 · 7f1y Std 132 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 57 par27/086OR 576 @ Wolverhampton 15/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 55 · 6f20y Std 131 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 55 par15/096OR 55projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Wolverhampton610th10th0
2026-08-27Lingfield64th4th0
2026-08-20Lingfield66th6th0
2026-08-05Brighton67th7th0
2026-07-24Sandown56th5th+1
2026-05-15Newmarket48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0424/0727/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength14%

Delivery trend -7.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/04/20267th100/10%45%+0.45
27/04/20265th11/486%60%-0.26
15/05/20268th100/10%22%+0.22
24/07/20266th6/168%0%-0.68
05/08/20267th12/137%25%-0.12
20/08/20266th10/147%50%+0.03
27/08/20264th4/179%70%-0.09
15/09/202610th5/174%18%-0.56