6

King Sharja

6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 51

Wolverhampton · JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Opened his account for the season in 8-runner apprentice handicap at Musselburgh (1m, good to firm) 6 days ago by 1¾ lengths from Thats My Boy Luke. Escapes a penalty for that success and has great chance of following up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength43%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Southwell 28/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 56 · 7f14y Std 131 · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 56 par28/046OR 566 @ Southwell 21/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 55 · 7f14y Std 135 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Carlisle 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 55 · 6f195y Goo 125 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 55 par29/056OR 556 @ Carlisle 15/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 57 · 6f195y Goo 127 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Beverley 03/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 56 · 7f96y Goo 126 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 56 par3/076OR 566 @ Musselburgh 31/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 55 · 7f15y Gd 135 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Beverley 12/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 53 · 7f75y Goo 134 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 53 par12/086OR 536 @ Southwell 27/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 51 · 7f14y Std 131 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Musselburgh 12/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 51 · 1m2y Goo 131 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 51 par12/096OR 51projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Musselburgh61st1st0
2026-08-27Southwell62nd2nd0
2026-08-12Beverley66th6th0
2026-07-31Musselburgh65th5th0
2026-07-03Beverley610th10th0
2026-06-15Carlisle64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0415/0612/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength97%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/04/202611th11/142%9%-0.33
21/05/20262nd10/382%88%+0.05
29/05/20262nd11/142%88%+0.45
15/06/20264th7/282%57%-0.24
03/07/202610th14/126%10%-0.16
31/07/20265th17/255%33%-0.22
12/08/20266th10/382%58%-0.24
27/08/20262nd6/168%89%+0.20
12/09/20261st9/276%100%+0.24