10

Pink Diamond Girl

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 51

Wolverhampton · JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y

#11

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Timeform

Commentary

Run to a modest level on first 2 starts but has finished well held on last 2 outings. Off since May and hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength57%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 06/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f36y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS6/1255 @ Lingfield 07/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f1y Std 118 · HIGHER CLASS7/0254 @ Kempton 18/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 120 · HIGHER CLASS18/0246 @ Wolverhampton 16/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 56 · 7f36y Std 126 · beat its mark16/03/2026 · OR 56 par16/036OR 566 @ Wolverhampton 05/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 55 · 7f36y Std 130 · below its mark05/05/2026 · OR 55 par5/056OR 556 @ Salisbury 14/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 55 · 6f Goo 130 · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 55 par14/056OR 55projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-14Salisbury613th13th0
2026-05-05Wolverhampton69th9th0
2026-03-16Wolverhampton67th7th0
2026-02-18Kempton47th5th+2
2026-02-07Lingfield54th3rd+1
2025-12-06Wolverhampton56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/127/0218/0216/035/0514/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%

Delivery trend -7.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/12/20256th40/10%29%+0.29
07/02/20264th40/10%63%+0.63
18/02/20267th80/10%45%+0.45
16/03/20267th28/10%40%+0.40
05/05/20269th18/15%11%+0.06
14/05/202613th50/10%14%+0.14