2
Rovinia
4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 53
Wolverhampton · JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Chepstow | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Brighton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brighton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 12/05/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 26/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |