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12

She's Crafty

3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 47

Wolverhampton · JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who started the season quite well but has been below par on last 3 starts. Tongue strap back on. Has work to do.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 04/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 64 · 6f Std 134 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 64 par4/106OR 646 @ Newcastle 07/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 63 · 6f Std 133 · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 63 par6 @ Wolverhampton 30/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 60 · 1m142y Std 130 · below its mark30/12/2025 · OR 60 par30/126OR 606 @ Leicester 13/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR 55 · 7f Gd 130 · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Yarmouth 21/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 55 · 1m3y GF 135 · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 55 par21/046OR 556 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 54 · 7f Goo 129 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Leicester 26/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 54 · 7f Goo 134 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 54 par26/056OR 546 @ Brighton 30/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 52 · 7f216y GF 127 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 49 · 7f1y Std 130 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 49 par18/086OR 49projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Lingfield610th10th0
2026-06-30Brighton65th5th0
2026-05-26Leicester68th8th0
2026-05-19Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-04-21Yarmouth65th5th0
2026-04-13Leicester64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1013/0426/0518/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 11-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20255th6/168%43%-0.26
07/11/20257th40/10%14%+0.14
30/12/20257th22/10%14%+0.14
13/04/20264th33/10%81%+0.81
21/04/20265th3/184%50%-0.34
19/05/20262nd9/153%91%+0.38
26/05/20268th3/184%13%-0.72
30/06/20265th6/168%0%-0.68
18/08/202610th10/147%18%-0.29