5
Snooze Lane
7yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 51
Wolverhampton · JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-03 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-12 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-02-10 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-12-02 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2024 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 14/10/2024 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 24/10/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 23/11/2024 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.45 |
| 02/12/2024 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 44% | -0.40 |
| 10/02/2025 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 12/05/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 22% | -0.41 |
| 03/06/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 16/06/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |