IvyArcIvyArc
4

Al Suil Eile

10yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 51

Wolverhampton · JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 36y

#10

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner early last year when scoring at Southwell (1m). Given a considerate return there for a new yard 22 days ago. This run should reveal more.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 14/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 57 · 1m13y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/02/2025 · OR 57 par14/025OR 575 @ Kempton 26/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 57 · 1m Sta 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/02/2025 · OR 57 par5 @ Southwell 11/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 56 · 1m13y Std 145 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/03/2025 · OR 56 par11/035OR 566 @ Southwell 21/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 56 · 1m13y Std 138 · beat its mark21/03/2025 · OR 56 par5 @ Doncaster 30/03/2025 · Pos 7th of 21 · OR 58 · 1m Gd 144 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/03/2025 · OR 58 par30/035OR 586 @ Southwell 20/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 57 · 7f14y Std 134 · beat its mark20/04/2025 · OR 57 par6 @ Beverley 24/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 57 · 1m100y Goo 132 · beat its mark24/04/2025 · OR 57 par24/046OR 576 @ Wolverhampton 28/04/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 57 · 1m142y Std 153 · below its mark28/04/2025 · OR 57 par6 @ Southwell 27/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 53 · 7f14y Std 133 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 53 par27/086OR 53projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Southwell66th6th0
2025-04-28Wolverhampton611th11th0
2025-04-24Beverley67th7th0
2025-04-20Southwell63rd3rd0
2025-03-30Doncaster57th6th+1
2025-03-21Southwell66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0221/0324/0427/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/20253rd18/15%71%+0.66
26/02/20255th14/126%33%+0.07
11/03/20251st11/142%100%+0.58
21/03/20256th13/266%29%-0.37
30/03/20257th22/10%70%+0.70
20/04/20253rd9/153%83%+0.31
24/04/20257th11/142%33%-0.09
28/04/202511th7/163%17%-0.46
27/08/20266th100/10%44%+0.44