12
Aplaceinthesun
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 46
Wolverhampton · JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Chepstow | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Lingfield | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Ffos Las | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Bath | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/09/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/11/2025 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 11/12/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 11/08/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/08/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |