5

Enjoy The Night

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 54

Wolverhampton · JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 36y

#7

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hinted at ability in handful of starts for John & Sean Quinn and shaped much better on second start for this yard when third at Beverley in July. Failed to build on that promise back sprinting at Catterick last time. Type to bounce back upped in trip on all-weather debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Ripon 04/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS4/0655 @ Carlisle 25/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS25/0654 @ Pontefract 27/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 5f3y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS27/0744 @ Thirsk 06/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 63 · 5f Goo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 63 par6/094OR 636 @ Catterick 11/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 60 · 5f GS 135 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 60 par11/066OR 605 @ Beverley 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 57 · 7f96y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 57 par14/075OR 576 @ Catterick 04/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 56 · 5f212y Goo 131 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 56 par4/086OR 56projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-04Catterick66th6th0
2026-07-14Beverley53rd2nd+1
2026-06-11Catterick65th5th0
2025-09-06Thirsk47th5th+2
2025-07-27Pontefract49th7th+2
2025-06-25Carlisle55th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/066/094/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/06/20256th18/15%29%+0.23
25/06/20255th14/126%33%+0.07
27/07/20259th33/10%20%+0.20
06/09/20257th28/10%40%+0.40
11/06/20265th11/142%20%-0.22
14/07/20263rd20/10%71%+0.71
04/08/20266th11/142%29%-0.14