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11

Gloriola

3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 48

Wolverhampton · JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 36y

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed in 2 classified stakes here in June/July. Failed to build on that back in a handicap at Southwell last time. Has work to do.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Nottingham 07/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f18y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS7/0854 @ Beverley 24/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f96y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Leicester 09/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS9/0946 @ Leicester 07/10/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 59 · 6f GS 134 · below its mark07/10/2025 · OR 59 par5 @ Nottingham 08/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 55 · 1m75y Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 55 par8/045OR 556 @ Wetherby 26/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 52 · 1m Goo 132 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Wolverhampton 16/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 50 · 1m142y Std 124 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 50 par16/066OR 506 @ Wolverhampton 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 50 · 1m142y Std 125 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Southwell 06/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 49 · 1m14y Std 129 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 49 par6/086OR 49projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Southwell66th6th0
2026-07-07Wolverhampton63rd3rd0
2026-06-16Wolverhampton62nd2nd0
2026-04-26Wetherby65th5th0
2026-04-08Nottingham511th10th+1
2025-10-07Leicester614th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/087/1016/066/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength9%

Delivery trend -5.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20256th50/10%38%+0.38
24/08/20256th150/10%58%+0.58
09/09/20258th200/10%0%0.00
07/10/202514th33/10%0%0.00
08/04/202611th28/10%9%+0.09
26/04/20265th33/10%43%+0.43
16/06/20262nd66/10%89%+0.89
07/07/20263rd3/184%75%-0.09
06/08/20266th9/276%29%-0.48