Captain Parma
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 75
Wolverhampton · Pertemps Network Handicap · 7f 36y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | York | 4 | 20th | 19th | +1 |
| 2026-04-21 | Yarmouth | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Doncaster | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-26 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 21/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 14/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 26/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 29/03/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 21/04/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 15/05/2026 | 20th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |