12
G'Emmethegreenlite
3yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 62
Wolverhampton · Pertemps Network Handicap · 7f 36y
#12
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Ripon | 5 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Kempton | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Haydock | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Thirsk | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-12 | Nottingham | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-28 | Hamilton | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 12/06/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 25/07/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 25/04/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 19/08/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 01/09/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |