Havanagreattime
5yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 73
Wolverhampton · Pertemps Network Handicap · 7f 36y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-09-05 | Kempton | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-08-11 | Windsor | 2 | 12th | 8th | +3 |
| 2025-06-30 | Windsor | 2 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 12/05/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 16/06/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 30/06/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 11/08/2025 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 05/09/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 27% | -0.15 |
| 30/07/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/08/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |