King Of Ithaca
6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 71
Wolverhampton · Pertemps Network Handicap · 7f 36y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Southwell | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Kempton | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Southwell | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-02-28 | Southwell | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 22/10/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 55% | -0.14 |
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 19/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/01/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 08/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 30/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |