6
Lerwick
6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 71
Wolverhampton · Pertemps Network Handicap · 7f 36y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Ffos Las | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Ffos Las | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Newbury | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Kempton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 19/11/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 19/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 44% | +0.02 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |