5
Ziggy's Condor
5yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 72
Wolverhampton · Pertemps Network Handicap · 7f 36y
#10
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Newmarket | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Goodwood | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 5 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Yarmouth | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength44%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 26/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 77% | +0.06 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 14/06/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |