Six Blue
6yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 57
Wolverhampton · Dave Hill, Mental Health Ambassador Handicap · 1m 4f 51y
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 9.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lingfield | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Kempton | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-27 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-03-30 | Kempton | 3 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-03-07 | Hereford | 5 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2025 | 18th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/02/2026 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 07/03/2026 | 13th | 300/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 30/03/2026 | 6th | 300/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 150/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 250/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/07/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |