Speculative
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 63
Wolverhampton · Cardway Cartons Box Designer Fillies' Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Ffos Las | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Salisbury | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-07-24 | Newbury | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-06-24 | Newbury | 2 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/07/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 04/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 23/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |