2

Acclaimed Freedom

3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 75

Wolverhampton · GE Starr Engineering...The Brightest Spark Handicap · 6f 20y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Produced his best effort to date on the back of a gelding operation when second of 8 over C&D last month, never nearer. Sound-enough fourth at Lingfield 2 weeks ago and he can remain competitive. Cheekpieces back on with Loughnane booked.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Ascot 05/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 6f Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS5/0925 @ Chelmsford City 18/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 7f Std 1335 @ Kempton 18/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 75 · 7f Sta 135 · below its mark18/03/2026 · OR 75 par18/035OR 754 @ Southwell 28/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 74 · 7f15y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Windsor 08/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 72 · 6f12y Goo 131 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 72 par8/065OR 725 @ Nottingham 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 74 · 6f18y Goo 135 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Epsom Downs 09/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 74 · 6f3y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 74 par9/074OR 745 @ Wolverhampton 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 73 · 6f20y Std 134 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Lingfield 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 75 · 6f1y Std 135 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 75 par3/095OR 75projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Lingfield54th4th0
2026-08-18Wolverhampton52nd2nd0
2026-07-09Epsom Downs46th5th+1
2026-07-04Nottingham54th4th0
2026-06-08Windsor52nd2nd0
2026-03-28Southwell46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0928/039/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength28%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20254th12/137%25%-0.12
18/09/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
18/03/20268th7/163%0%-0.63
28/03/20266th33/10%38%+0.38
08/06/20262nd11/271%89%+0.18
04/07/20264th5/287%50%-0.37
09/07/20266th10/382%29%-0.54
18/08/20262nd11/1094%86%-0.09
03/09/20264th2/189%50%-0.39