6

Beauzon

7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 70

Wolverhampton · GE Starr Engineering...The Brightest Spark Handicap · 6f 20y

#5

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Completed a remarkable 7-timer in typical fashion from the front over C&D in March. Went into his shell on turf this summer and no immediate upturn in his fortunes returned to all-weather at Southwell 2 weeks ago. Did miss the break on that occasion and inching back to last winning mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength36%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 16/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 52 · 6f20y Std 134 · beat its mark16/02/2026 · OR 52 par16/026OR 525 @ Wolverhampton 03/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 65 · 6f20y Std 130 · beat its mark03/03/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Wolverhampton 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 65 · 6f20y Std 139 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 65 par13/036OR 655 @ Wolverhampton 16/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 70 · 6f20y Std 139 · below its mark16/03/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Chester 11/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 72 · 5f15y Goo 137 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 72 par11/075OR 725 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 67 · 5f15y Goo 137 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Newmarket 14/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 67 · 6f GF 137 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 67 par14/085OR 674 @ Newmarket 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 64 · 5f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 64 par4 @ Southwell 03/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 71 · 6f17y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 71 par3/094OR 71projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Southwell412th11th+1
2026-08-22Newmarket46th5th+1
2026-08-14Newmarket511th11th0
2026-07-25Chester511th11th0
2026-07-11Chester511th11th0
2026-03-16Wolverhampton56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0216/0314/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/02/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
03/03/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
13/03/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
16/03/20266th11/486%17%-0.69
11/07/202611th40/10%0%0.00
25/07/202611th66/10%0%0.00
14/08/202611th100/10%9%+0.09
22/08/20266th66/10%17%+0.17
03/09/202612th125/10%0%0.00