Flash Rascal
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 72
Wolverhampton · GE Starr Engineering...The Brightest Spark Handicap · 6f 20y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Doncaster | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Haydock | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-03 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-06 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 01/12/2025 | 3rd | 85/40 | 89% | 67% | -0.22 |
| 18/12/2025 | 3rd | 18/5 | 81% | 75% | -0.06 |
| 06/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 03/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 17/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |