Million Gold
3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 73
Wolverhampton · GE Starr Engineering...The Brightest Spark Handicap · 6f 20y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Yarmouth | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 4 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Newcastle | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-12-03 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/6 | 96% | 60% | -0.36 |
| 27/06/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/09/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |