8
Santiago Boy
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 71
Wolverhampton · GE Starr Engineering...The Brightest Spark Handicap · 6f 20y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Ffos Las | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Lingfield | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kempton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 125/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 36% | -0.40 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |