Just Follow Me
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2024 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 10/09/2024 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 30/11/2024 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 03/05/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 13/12/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |