6
Jamiesta
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 73
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 15/08/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |