Master Spy
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 69
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 22/08/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 12/09/2025 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 55% | -0.36 |
| 31/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/11/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 07/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |