3
Out N Out Disgrace
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 73
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 11/07/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 12/09/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 09/08/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |