5
Tutti Contenti
5yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 82
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
35%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 19/10/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 13/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 24/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 77% | +0.14 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |