Galley Head
7yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 89
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
85%
Place Prob
59%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 15/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 26/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 20% | -0.69 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |