2
Kavala
6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 77
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 19/06/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 10/08/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 11/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 10/10/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |